US Oil Drilling Adds 2 Rigs This Week, But Down 36 Over Last Year

What should investors and consumers be watching?

Reese Energy Consulting – Sponsor ENB Podcast

By Stuart Turley, Energy News Beat

January 31, 2026

The latest Baker Hughes rig count report, released on January 30, 2026, shows a modest uptick in U.S. drilling activity with the total rig count climbing by 2 to 546. This marks a slight rebound from the previous week’s 544 rigs. However, the figure remains significantly lower year-over-year, down 36 rigs from the 582 active at the end of January 2025. This weekly gain comes amid fluctuating oil prices and ongoing market uncertainties, but the broader trend highlights a cautious approach by operators in response to economic signals and efficiency gains in shale plays.

Stu Turley and Michael Tanner will cover earnings for the key companies listed on the Energy News Beat Stand-Up. They will also review how the VectorVest analyst assesses their performance.

The breakdown by rig type reveals stability in oil-directed drilling, with oil rigs holding steady at 411. Gas rigs saw a gain of 3, reaching 125, while miscellaneous rigs dipped by 1 to 10. Oil rigs now account for about 75% of the total, gas for 23%, and miscellaneous for 2%. This distribution underscores the dominance of oil-focused activity, particularly in major shale basins, even as natural gas prices remain subdued.

Rig Count Breakdown by State

Drilling activity varies significantly across key producing states, with Texas continuing to lead despite recent fluctuations. Here’s a snapshot of the rig counts in major states based on the most recent data:

State
Rig Count (Jan 30, 2026)
Weekly Change
Year-Over-Year Change
Texas
229
+1
-48
New Mexico
102
0
0
Oklahoma
43
0
0
Louisiana
37
-2
+10
North Dakota
26
0
-6
Other States
109
+3
-2

Texas, home to the prolific Permian Basin, added a single rig but is down sharply from last year, reflecting consolidation and efficiency improvements among operators.

New Mexico held flat, while Louisiana saw a dip, possibly tied to seasonal factors in the Haynesville shale.

Rig Count by Major Oil Basins

The U.S. rig count is heavily concentrated in key shale basins, where technological advancements continue to drive productivity despite fewer rigs. The Permian Basin remains the epicenter of activity, but other regions show mixed trends:

Basin
Rig Count (Jan 30, 2026)
Weekly Change
Year-Over-Year Change
Primary Type
Permian
244
0
-60
Oil
Haynesville
42
0
+13
Gas
Eagle Ford
40
0
-4
Oil/Gas
Williston (Bakken)
28
0
-5
Oil
Marcellus
24
0
+1
Gas
Utica
15
0
N/A
Gas
DJ-Niobrara
7
-1
N/A
Oil/Gas

The Permian Basin, spanning Texas and New Mexico, accounts for nearly half of all U.S. rigs and is predominantly oil-focused.

Its flat weekly count masks a significant annual decline, driven by mergers and a focus on high-grading acreage. Gas-heavy basins like Haynesville and Marcellus have shown resilience, buoyed by occasional price spikes, but overall activity remains tempered.For a visual overview of U.S. shale basins, see the map below:
Historical trends in U.S. crude oil production, including projections, illustrate the decoupling of rig counts from output due to efficiency gains:
Source: peakoilbarrel.com

Permian output is forecasted to stagnate around 6.55 million barrels per day in 2026, as shown in this chart:

Wood Mackenzie sees Permian output growth flattening in 2026 - Source Reuters
Wood Mackenzie sees Permian output growth flattening in 2026 – Source Reuters

Earnings Highlights from Oilfield Service and Exploration Companies This Week

Several key players in the oil and gas sector reported earnings this week, providing insights into operational performance amid higher oil prices. Here’s a list of notable companies with earnings calls between January 25-31, 2026, along with summaries:

Baker Hughes (Oilfield Services): Reported Q4 2025 results on January 26. The company achieved record full-year adjusted EBITDA of $4.825 billion, up 5% year-over-year, with margins expanding to 17.4%. Q4 revenue was $7.386 billion, flat year-over-year, but free cash flow hit a record $2.732 billion for the year. Strong orders in industrial and energy transition segments, including LNG and new energy, drove optimism. CEO Lorenzo Simonelli highlighted resilient margins despite macro headwinds.

National Fuel Gas (Exploration and Production): Q1 2026 earnings released January 28. GAAP earnings were $181.6 million ($1.98/share), with adjusted earnings of $187.7 million ($2.06/share), up 24% per share from last year. The beat was driven by higher production (up 10% to 104 Bcfe) and stronger realized prices. Reaffirmed fiscal 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $7.60–$8.10, assuming $3.75/MMBtu NYMEX. The company noted robust Appalachian gas output and utility segment growth.

Murphy Oil (Exploration): Q4 2025 update and call on January 29. The company reported successful appraisal wells in Vietnam and discoveries in the Gulf of Mexico. Production averaged 185,000 BOE/d for the quarter, with onshore assets contributing 97,000 BOE/d. Adjusted net income was around $100 million, supported by higher oil realizations. CEO Roger Jenkins emphasized exploration momentum and debt reduction, targeting $1.3–$1.5 billion in capex for 2026.

ExxonMobil (Integrated Oil & Gas): Q4 2025 earnings on January 30. Revenue topped $90 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.15, beating estimates. Upstream production hit 3.8 million BOE/d, driven by Permian growth. The company returned $8 billion to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. CEO Darren Woods cited strong refining margins and Guyana expansions as key drivers.

Chevron (Integrated Oil & Gas): Q4 2025 earnings on January 30. Adjusted EPS of $3.05 exceeded forecasts, with revenue at $50 billion. Production rose to 3.1 million BOE/d, bolstered by U.S. shale and international assets. Returned $7 billion to investors. CEO Mike Wirth highlighted cost efficiencies and the pending Hess acquisition, positioning for sustained growth.

Other mentions include SLB (Schlumberger), which reported on January 23 (just prior to this week) with Q4 revenue of $9.75 billion and a 25% dividend increase, committing over $4 billion in shareholder returns for 2026.

What Investors Should Look For Amid Higher Oil Prices

With WTI crude hovering around $75–$80 per barrel in early 2026—up from mid-2025 lows—investors should prioritize companies with low breakeven costs (under $50/bbl), strong free cash flow generation, and exposure to premium assets like the Permian. Focus on balance sheet strength to weather volatility, dividend yields (e.g., ExxonMobil’s 3.5%+), and ESG commitments, as regulatory pressures mount. Watch for M&A activity, as consolidation could unlock value. Upside risks include geopolitical tensions boosting prices, while downside includes recession fears capping demand.

 

Impact on Consumers

Higher oil prices translate to elevated gasoline costs, potentially averaging $3.50–$4.00 per gallon nationally, squeezing household budgets amid inflation. Home heating oil and natural gas bills could rise 5–10% year-over-year, particularly in the Northeast. Transportation and goods prices may increase, adding to cost-of-living pressures. However, efficiency gains and EV adoption could mitigate long-term impacts, while domestic production stability helps buffer import dependence.

 

Sources: theenergynewsbeat.substack.com,

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