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HomeFinance

Finance

Treasury Yield
Finance

Treasury Yield Curve Un-Inverts Entirely, as Long-Term Yields Rise while Short-Term Yields Stay Put, No Longer Pricing in Rate Cuts. Mortgage Rates back Above 7%

December 21, 2024

Since September, the Fed cut by 100 basis points while the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 87 basis points! There are now doubts about further cuts.

ON RRP
Finance

After Fed Trims ON RRP Rate by 5 Basis Points on Top of Rate Cut, ON RRPs Plunge to $98 Billion, Lowest since April 2021, -$2.3 Trillion from Peak, on the Way to Zero

December 21, 2024

QT has only drained ON RRPs so far, but not Reserves, which are still where they’d been when QT started in July 2022. QT has a long way to go.

Price
Finance

What Powell Said at the FOMC about Today’s PCE Price Index: “We Still Have Work to Do Though, Is How We’re Looking at it. We Need policy to Remain Restrictive to Get that Work Done”

December 20, 2024

Inflation is still in services, no progress in 6 months. Another bummer: Durable goods deflation, a contributor to cooling inflation, may be over.

ExxonMobil
Big Oil Companies

ExxonMobil buys FPSO Liza Destiny from SBM Offshore

December 20, 2024 Mariel Alumit

SBM Offshore ExxonMobil Guyana, the local arm of US supermajor ExxonMobil, has acquired the FPSO Liza Destiny from Dutch floater expert SBM Offshore. ExxonMobil bought the FPSO ahead of the maximum lease term which would […]

Price
Finance

Census Bureau Massively Revises Up Population Growth: +8 Million in 3 Years, +3.3 Million Last Year, Largely due to Immigration. US Population Surges to 340 Million

December 19, 2024

Total Employment to be substantially revised higher early 2025 when the BLS incorporates these up-revisions into its household survey employment data.

Price
Finance

Home Sellers, Home Buyers, and Brokers Getting Used to the “New Normal” Old Normal 6-7% Mortgages?

December 19, 2024

Existing home sales rise from multi-decade rock-bottom, still -34% from 2021, -22% from 2019. Supply highest for November since 2018, days on market highest since 2019.

Bitcoin
Bitcoin

Bitcoin and Hawk Tuah Aren’t So Different

December 19, 2024 Mariel Alumit

The political crypto push is its own kind of scam. The price of bitcoin went over $100,000 for a few hours on Dec. 5, peaking at $103,400. The financial press can’t resist constructing a hand-waving […]

Inspector General
Climate Crisis

Inspector General Urges Immediate Halt To DOE Loan Program Over ‘Significant Risk Of Fraud’

December 19, 2024 Mariel Alumit

The DOE’s inspector general called for pausing a $400 billion energy loan program due to noncompliance issues and significant fraud risks. The Department of Energy’s inspector general on Tuesday issued an unprecedented call to suspend […]

Australian LNG export revenue
Exports

Australian LNG export revenue drops in November

December 19, 2024 Mariel Alumit

The consultancy estimates Australian LNG export revenue reached A$5.31 billion ($3.31 billion) in November. EnergyQuest said this was lower than A$5.57 billion in October and lower compared to November 2023, when revenue was A$5.72 billion. Western Australia […]

Fed
Finance

Fed Cuts by 25 Basis Points, to 4.25%-4.50%, Sees Only 2 Cuts in 2025, Sees Higher Inflation, Higher “Longer-Run” Rates. QT Continues

December 18, 2024

Energetic backpedal from the aggressive monster-rate-cut trajectory envisioned by the markets three months ago.

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