Spain’s Clean Energy Dilemma – Who is going to pay for the grid stabilization?

Spain has long been hailed as a pioneer in renewable energy, aggressively pursuing wind and solar installations to reduce dependence on imported fossil fuels and meet ambitious climate goals. However, this rapid transition has exposed critical vulnerabilities in the nation’s power infrastructure. Without sufficient planning for grid stability, Spain’s energy system has faced unprecedented challenges, including negative electricity prices, surplus generation, and a catastrophic blackout in April 2025 that affected millions. electriciy

This article explores how Spain arrived at this crossroads, the key players involved, the current energy landscape, and potential paths forward, including the rising role of natural gas.

The Road to Instability: Rapid Renewables Rollout Without a Safety Net

Spain’s push for clean energy began in earnest in the early 2000s, but accelerated dramatically in the last decade. By the end of 2024, the country had installed over 30 GW of wind capacity and more than 20 GW of solar, making renewables the backbone of its electricity generation.

This expansion was driven by government incentives, EU funding, and private investments, aiming for 74% renewable electricity by 2030 as part of the National Integrated Energy and Climate Plan.

However, the rollout prioritized capacity additions over infrastructure upgrades. Wind and solar, being intermittent sources dependent on weather, flooded the grid with excess power during peak production times, leading to over 500 hours of negative electricity prices in the first nine months of 2025—nearly double the previous year’s total.

The lack of adequate battery storage, transmission upgrades, and demand-response mechanisms exacerbated these issues. A voltage surge at a solar plant in Extremadura triggered the April 28, 2025, blackout, which cascaded across Spain and Portugal, marking one of Europe’s worst power outages in history.

Investigations revealed that while renewables were not the direct cause—conventional power plant planning failures played a key role—the high penetration of variable renewables highlighted grid fragilities.

Misinformation quickly spread, blaming solar and wind, but official reports from ENTSO-E confirmed that excess renewable generation was not the culprit.

Top countries for cost of electricity, Source Sandstone Asset Management

Key Companies Driving Wind and Solar Installations

Several major firms have dominated Spain’s renewable boom. Iberdrola, a global leader, has installed thousands of MW in wind and solar projects, including hybrid facilities. Acciona Energía focuses on onshore wind and photovoltaic plants, while EDP Renewables and Enel Green Power (part of Italy’s Enel) have developed large-scale solar farms.

Other notable players include Lightsource BP, Aquila Capital, and Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners, which secured attractive onshore wind opportunities like the Monegros project.

Repsol has partnered with Schroders Greencoat for a 400 MW wind and solar portfolio.

Investor returns have been mixed amid market volatility. Profitability for renewable projects has declined due to oversupply and falling prices, with energy costs 40% lower than in 2019.

However, clean energy mergers and acquisitions surged 60% in value through June 2025, despite a 10% drop in transaction volume.

Stocks of companies like Solaria, Acciona Energía, and Iberdrola have seen fluctuations, driven by financial market interest in renewables, but waning confidence from low prices has deterred some investors.

Overall, while early investors reaped strong returns during the boom, current yields are pressured by grid constraints and excess capacity.

Spain’s Current Energy Mix

As of October 2025, Spain’s electricity generation mix is heavily tilted toward low-carbon sources. Renewables account for over 40% of electricity, with wind at 21%, solar at 19%, and hydropower at 2.6%.

Nuclear provides 20-21.6%, natural gas (via combined-cycle plants) 17.7%, and coal a minimal 2.2%.

In the first half of 2025, wind and solar alone met 46% of demand, up from previous years, with low-carbon generation peaking in 2024.

Electricity demand rose slightly in some months, like 1.5% in July and 5.1% in June, but fell 1.7% in August.

The grid’s carbon intensity stands at around 84g CO₂eq/kWh, with 87% carbon-free on average days.

Surge in Natural Gas Usage Post-Blackout

Since the April 2025 blackout, Spain’s natural gas consumption for power generation has spiked significantly. Gas use jumped 41% in the first half of 2025, with combined-cycle plants burning more to provide grid stability and backup during renewable lulls.

Total gas demand reached 267.6 TWh, boosted by exports to France and the need for reliable baseload power.

Costs for grid services have doubled, reflecting the increased reliance on gas to prevent further outages.

This trend has decoupled gas from power prices somewhat, thanks to renewables, but the blackout prompted a temporary boost in gas-fired generation to restore normality.

Plans to Stabilize the Grid

To address these vulnerabilities, Spain is focusing on grid modernization. The government proposes a 62% hike in grid investment caps through 2030 to attract more funding for infrastructure.

Key strategies include deploying battery storage, pumped hydro, and thermal storage, with a €700 million program targeting regions like Andalusia and Extremadura.

Updates to operational procedures, like enabling renewables for voltage control, were implemented post-blackout.

Anti-blackout plans involve reintroducing regulatory measures from RDL 7/2025 and enhancing cross-border coordination.

Lessons from the outage emphasize flexible backups, advanced storage, and intelligent grid management.

Financing Grid Stabilization

Funding will come from a mix of public and private sources. The Spanish government, through regulated caps on returns funded by consumers, is increasing investment limits.

EU support via the European Investment Bank (EIB) has provided loans, such as €108 million to Iberdrola for storage in Extremadura.

The €700 million battery program matches prior total funding for storage, signaling a major push.

Private investors are drawn by mergers, but warnings from lobbies highlight the need for more to alleviate grid saturation.

Overall, the blackout has catalyzed urgent measures, with costs ultimately passed to consumers and taxpayers.Is Natural Gas the Way Forward?While renewables remain central, natural gas plants are emerging as a bridge for stability. Post-blackout, gas has proven essential for quick-response power, ensuring supply during transitions.

Spain’s energy plan maintains nuclear at current levels until at least 2025 but sees gas as a flexible complement to renewables.

However, with rising costs and EU decarbonization goals, gas may not be a long-term solution—storage and grid upgrades could reduce dependence. For now, it appears gas plants will play a key role in Spain’s future to avoid repeating the 2025 crisis.

Spain’s clean energy dilemma underscores the need for balanced planning in the green transition. Rapid renewable adoption has delivered environmental wins but at the cost of reliability. With targeted investments and strategic use of gas, Spain could turn this challenge into a model for resilient energy systems.

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