Oil prices dip ahead of OPEC+ meeting – Preliminary numbers are showing an estimated increase of 1.75 mbd with OPEC and OPEC + combined. -Updated 7:15 Eastern

The Saudis need to increase their production but will hold back a bit from gaining their 1 mbd, and should be in the 650 mbd range. - As of this morning our numbers look like there is a 1.75 to 2 mbd increase with underlying political reasons.

JMMC Energy News Beat

Energy News Beat Publishers Note: Should be fun watching the political discussions around the world on the OPEC + meetings today, and the impact on tomorrow’s OPEC meeting. The Energy News Beat team is looking at several influencing factors. Russia and Iran are the two wild cards. Russia wants another increase and Iran did not show up to the JCCM meetings yesterday. The Saudis need to increase their production but will hold back a bit from gaining their 1 mbd, and should be in the 650 mbd range. – As of this morning our numbers look like there is a 1.75 to 2 mbd increase with underlying political reasons. We will cover those as we get more intel. 


Some key information:


Bloomberg -OPEC+ Silence Leaves Oil Market Guessing Next Supply Move

Saudi Arabia and Russia, leaders of group, held bilateral talks on Wednesday, seeking common ground as Riyadh urges caution and Moscow presses to raise output, a delegate said. While OPEC+ is still widely expected to revive some of the 7 million barrels a day they’ve idled, a preliminary meeting of ministers didn’t get into specifics. Delegates said several options were still on the table.



Reuters – 3:44 AM Central

Oil prices dipped on Thursday ahead of talks between OPEC and its allies on whether to ease production cuts and after a record jump in U.S. crude oil stocks following Texan refinery outages.

Brent crude futures fell 23 cents, or 0.3%, to $63.84 a barrel by 0927 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped 31 cents, or 0.5% to $60.97.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies, together known as OPEC+, are considering rolling over production cuts into April instead of raising output, three OPEC+ sources told Reuters, citing the fragile nature of oil demand recovery as the coronavirus crisis continues.

The market had expected OPEC+ to ease production cuts by about 500,000 barrels per day (bpd) from April and for Saudi Arabia, OPEC’s de facto leader, to end its voluntary production cut of an additional 1 million bpd. Saudi intentions, however, remain unclear as yet.

“Prices retreated as two related questions have gone unanswered,” PVM analysts said, pointing to whether Saudi Arabia would end its voluntary reduction after March and what a potential rollover of OPEC+ cuts would mean for the rest of the quarter.

“It is still very much feasible to see an average increase of around 500,000 bpd over Q2 with an unchanged output level next month,” the analysts wrote.

Citi analysts said they expect the group to find a compromise for a nominal production increase of 500,000 bpd and for Saudi Arabia to keep its production quota at 8.256 million bpd.

In the United States, despite a record surge of more than 21 million barrels in crude oil stockpiles last week, gasoline stocks fell by the most in 30 years as refining plunged to a record low because of the Texas freeze.

Giving a floor to prices, Yemen’s Houthi forces said on Thursday that they had fired a missile at a Saudi Aramco facility in Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea city of Jeddah. There was no immediate confirmation from Saudi authorities.

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Stuart Turley is President and CEO of Sandstone Group, a top energy data, and finance consultancy working with companies all throughout the energy value chain. Sandstone helps both small and large-cap energy companies to develop customized applications and manage data workflows/integration throughout the entire business. With experience in implementing enterprise networks, supercomputers, and cellular tower solutions, Sandstone has become a trusted source and advisor in this space. Stuart has led the “Total Corporate Digital Integration” platform at Sandstone and works with Sandstone clients to help integrate all aspects of modern digital business. He is also the Executive Publisher of www.energynewsbeat.com, the best source for 24/7 energy news coverage and is the Co-Host of the energy news video and Podcast Energy News Beat. Stuart is on Board Member of ASN Productions, DI Communities Stuart is guided by over 30 years of business management experience, having successfully built and help sell multiple small and medium businesses while consulting for numerous Fortune 500 companies. He holds a B.A in Business Administration from Oklahoma State and an MBA from Oklahoma City University.