Global EV Market in 2025: Growth Amid Fire Risks and Insurance Challenges

Top Selling Chinese EV - Created by Grok on X
Top Selling Chinese EV - Created by Grok on X
The electric vehicle (EV) market is continuing to surge globally, driven by advancements in technology, growing demand for hybrids, government incentives, and increasing consumer demand for sustainable transportation. Now that government incentives are being phased out, we will see how this plays out. If you are Gavin Newsom, it would make sense to put tax incentives or tax credits on hybrids to actually impact gasoline demand and improve the environment. But that would require knowledge of how the markets work.
However, emerging concerns over fire risks associated with lithium-ion batteries are casting shadows on this growth, exemplified by shipping giant Matson’s recent suspension of EV shipments. In the United States, homeowners are facing rising insurance premiums when EVs are garaged or lithium battery systems are installed, raising questions about whether these costs could limit EV accessibility for the average buyer. This article explores these dynamics, drawing on the latest data and developments.

Thriving Global EV Market – Consider the sources

As of mid-2025, the global EV market is experiencing robust expansion. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), electric car sales exceeded 17 million units worldwide in 2024, marking a 25% increase from the previous year. I am checking these numbers as they include hybrids in a lumped category. EVs are declining and they playing with the numbers. 

Projections for 2025 indicate even stronger performance, with sales expected to surpass 20 million units, representing more than one-quarter of total global car sales.

BloombergNEF forecasts nearly 22 million battery-electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles sold this year, a 25% rise from 2024.

Key drivers include falling battery costs, expanded charging infrastructure, and policy support in major markets like China, Europe, and the US. China remains the dominant player, accounting for over half of global sales, while Europe and North America show steady growth.

Revenue in the EV sector is projected to reach $784.2 billion in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.5% through 2030.

In May 2025 alone, global plugin vehicle registrations hit 1.6 million, up 22% year-over-year, pushing the market share to 25%.

Despite this momentum, challenges persist, including supply chain issues and raw material shortages. Yet, the outlook remains optimistic, with mainstream models from manufacturers like Tesla, BYD, and Volkswagen driving adoption.

Matson Suspends EV Shipments Over Fire Risks
A notable setback in the EV logistics chain came when Matson Inc., a major US-based shipping company, announced the suspension of all shipments of electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids, and hybrids to and from Guam. This decision, effective immediately, stems from growing concerns about the fire hazards posed by large lithium-ion batteries during maritime transport.

Matson cited the “hazardous nature” of these vehicles in a letter to customers, halting new bookings across all trades.

The move highlights broader industry anxieties over lithium-ion battery fires at sea, particularly thermal runaway—a chain reaction where batteries overheat uncontrollably. The American Bureau of Shipping (ABS) has developed advanced simulation models to study these risks, identifying them as one of the shipping sector’s biggest emerging threats.

While no specific incidents involving Matson’s operations were reported, high-profile cargo ship fires in recent years—some linked to EVs—have amplified scrutiny.

This suspension could disrupt EV supply chains, particularly for island markets like Guam, and may prompt other carriers to reassess their policies. It underscores the need for enhanced safety protocols, such as specialized containers or fire-suppression systems, to mitigate these risks without halting progress.

Rising Homeowners Insurance Costs in the US for EVs and Lithium Batteries

In the US, the integration of EVs into daily life is complicating homeowners’ insurance, with premiums rising due to perceived fire risks from garaged vehicles and installed lithium battery systems. Insurance experts note that EV charging stations and the vehicles themselves introduce hazards like thermal runaway, which can lead to intense, hard-to-extinguish fires.

Homeowners with EVs parked in garages may see insurance rates increase by up to 64%, as carriers factor in higher repair costs and potential property damage.

Agents increasingly inquire about EV ownership and charging setups during policy renewals, viewing them as elevated risks similar to water damage or electrical faults.

For instance, installing a Level 2 charger often requires wiring upgrades, which could trigger policy adjustments or higher premiums to cover fire liabilities.

Lithium battery storage systems, such as home power walls, exacerbate these concerns. These units, popular for energy backup, carry risks of overheating or chemical leaks, leading insurers to impose surcharges or require safety certifications.

While not all policies hike rates automatically—some experts advise notifying agents without immediate increases—carriers like State Farm have taken precautionary steps, such as removing EV chargers from their own parking garages over fire fears.

Overall, EV-related homeowners insurance can cost 20-50% more than for traditional vehicles, depending on the carrier and location.

This trend is particularly pronounced in wildfire-prone areas, where battery risks compound existing vulnerabilities.

Will Insurance Shut Down EV Availability for the Average Buyer?

The question looms: Could escalating insurance costs effectively price EVs out of reach for average consumers? While insurers are not outright denying coverage—most companies, per industry analyses, continue to underwrite EVs without exclusions—heightened premiums and restrictions signal potential barriers.

Some carriers perceive EV charging as a “significant fire risk,” leading to higher rates, special safety mandates, or limited coverage options.

Thermal incidents, though rare, result in total losses and costly claims, prompting caution.

For the average buyer, these added expenses—combined with EV purchase prices—could deter adoption, especially if premiums rise further amid ongoing fire incidents.

However, the market is adapting. As EVs become more common, data shows they are at least as safe as internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, potentially stabilizing rates over time.

Innovations in battery safety and insurer education may mitigate concerns, ensuring EVs remain viable. Still, without regulatory interventions or subsidies to offset insurance hikes, affordability challenges could slow the transition for middle-income households.

The Bottom Line

The global EV market’s upward trajectory in 2025 is undeniable, depending on which source you count, but fire risks and insurance hurdles highlight the need for balanced solutions. Stakeholders—from manufacturers to policymakers—must address these issues to sustain momentum in the shift toward lowering gasoline demand. Hybrids are the key, and it seems that fuzzy math is showing up in their claims. I still believe Tesla is a long-term player, and I am watching to trade daily.