Global Diesel Shortage on the Horizon

If you think diesel prices will ease next year, Wall Street is not with you. On August 31, 2026, CoinBureau founder Nic Puckrin flagged Goldman Sachs for more than doubling its 2027 diesel-margin forecasts, arguing that refineries are being hit from every direction—Middle East strikes, Russian export bans, and winter demand—with diesel at the epicenter […]

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Asia, Europe and US Diesel Crack Spreads Are On Fire – What does this mean for consumers and investors?

Diesel refining margins—known as crack spreads—have exploded to extreme levels across the three major refining hubs, signaling a tightening global middle distillate market that is only in its early stages. As of late August 2026, the US Gulf Coast ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD) crack versus WTI stood near $93–94 per barrel (after briefly topping a […]

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Ukraine Hits Lukoil Refinery. How Degraded is the Russian Refinery Capacity?

On the morning of August 21, 2026, Ukrainian drones struck the Lukoil-Permnefteorgsintez oil refinery in Russia’s Perm Krai, more than 1,500 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. Thick black smoke rose over the facility, one of Russia’s 10 largest refineries with a design capacity of around 13 million metric tons of crude per year (approximately 262,000 […]

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EU’s CBAM will cripple the ability to Re-Arm the EU in a Post Russia/Ukraine war

As Europe contemplates a post-Russia/Ukraine war landscape, the imperative to re-arm and rebuild credible conventional deterrence has never been clearer. Tanks, artillery systems, armored vehicles, munitions, and supporting infrastructure all demand vast quantities of high-quality steel—often 50–60 tonnes for a main battle tank and up to 100 tonnes for certain self-propelled artillery pieces. Yet the […]

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Can Brent Hit $100 as Hormuz, Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Ukraine All Come Under Fire?

Geopolitical risks are colliding across multiple theaters in early August 2026, creating a perfect storm for energy markets. The Strait of Hormuz is flaring again, with Iranian loadings collapsing toward zero. Saudi Arabia’s Jazan refinery has been hit by Houthi drones for the second time in weeks. Ukraine continues deep strikes on Russian refining infrastructure, […]

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US Senate Passes Russia Sanctions Bill Championed by Graham: Is This Even Worth the Paper It Is Written On?

On August 7, 2026, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly passed the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026 by a vote of 86-11. The bipartisan measure, renamed in honor of the late South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham—who championed it until his death last month—now heads to the House. The legislation authorizes the president […]

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