Global oil markets are navigating heightened volatility as geopolitical tensions, ongoing conflicts, militant attacks, environmental constraints, and regulatory hurdles converge on several of the world’s most critical maritime and pipeline chokepoints. Brent crude prices have shown sharp swings, with peaks well above $90 during periods of acute disruption (including levels around or exceeding $94 in […]
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A recent Wall Street Journal report has confirmed that China has effectively put negotiations for the Power of Siberia 2 (PoS2) natural gas pipeline on indefinite hold. This development, highlighted in a July 19 X post by commodities analyst Jack Prandelli, underscores Beijing’s hardball tactics and Russia’s increasingly desperate position in pivoting its energy exports […]
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A pivotal shift occurred overnight on July 14–15, 2026. Ukraine struck the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat refinery in Bashkortostan — previously Russia’s last major untouched gasoline production facility — along with the Afipsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai. Drones traveled over 1,500 km to hit primary processing units at Salavat, igniting fires and knocking out its full […]
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ENB Pub Note: This article originally ran on RHG Phoenix’s site by Randy Green. We will be visiting with them on the podcast soon. The global oil market is navigating a complex rebalancing act amid geopolitical disruptions, sanctions evasion, and shifting supply dynamics. As of mid-July 2026, Brent crude trades in the low-to-mid $80s per […]
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ENB Pub Note: By RFE/RL staff – Jul 15, 2026 – I am old enough to remember a few years ago when a single tanker was hit by Iran, and oil jumped $30 per barrel. Russia has lost over 60% of its downstream capabilities, and in the last 3 weeks, over 90 vessels, including 20 tankers. […]
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The Refining Capacity Shortage and Demand Destruction Quest Brent crude oil prices surged more than 3% today, breaking above $86 per barrel (reaching $86.06 in early London trading). This extends a sharp ~12% rally since Friday, driven by escalating geopolitical risks across key oil chokepoints and infrastructure. The immediate spark came from Iranian cruise missile […]
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In May 2026, Axios reported on classified U.S. intelligence indicating that Cuba has acquired more than 300 military attack drones from Russia and Iran since 2023. The drones are stored at strategic locations across the island, with Cuban officials recently seeking additional units and equipment from Russia. This development, amplified in recent social media discussions, […]
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Beijing has directed at least two major Chinese refineries to maintain or even increase processing rates to ensure adequate domestic supplies of gasoline, diesel, and other fuels. This comes amid renewed threats to crude shipments through the Persian Gulf tied to the ongoing Iran conflict, according to people familiar with the matter cited by Bloomberg […]
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Russia’s domestic fuel shortage has escalated dramatically in July 2026, moving beyond diesel queues at gas stations to kerosene shortages, grounded or limited flights, and export bans on key refined products. Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries and the shadow fleet tankers are removing substantial refined product supply from both domestic and global markets. This is […]
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Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces have intensified their campaign against Russia’s “shadow fleet” of tankers, claiming strikes on approximately 15 additional vessels in a recent operation focused on the Sea of Azov. This follows a multi-day drone offensive from July 6–9, 2026, that reportedly hit 35–36 ships total (with later updates to 36 vessels, including 32 […]
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