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HomeFed

Fed

Finance

Pause: Goldman No Longer Expects Fed To Hike In March Due To “Stress In The Banking System”

March 13, 2023 Mariel Alumit

Earlier we said that the Fed/Treasury’s new alphabet soup bailout facility, the BTFP, stands for Buy The Fucking Pivot as it confirms what we have been saying for months: it’s just a matter of time […]

Friday
Financial Crisis

Why Friday’s Jobs Report Won’t Save The S&P 500 From Fed Hawks

March 9, 2023 Mariel Alumit

The Federal Reserve’s data-dependence might suggest that a more mild jobs report on Friday and tamer CPI inflation reading next week could still result in just a quarter-point rate hike on March 22. Don’t bet […]

Fed
Finance

Inflationary Gaslighting – Fed Chair Says Interest Rates likely to be higher than previously expected

March 8, 2023 Mariel Alumit

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell delivers testimony today before the Senate Banking and Finance Committee.  During his statements Powell says, “The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate […]

Futures
Zero Edge

Futures Rebound As Yields, Dollar Drop, Fed Minutes Loom

February 22, 2023 Mariel Alumit

After suffering their biggest one-day drop of 2023, US futures rebounded in muted trading on Wednesday, boosted by a drop in rates (the 10Y just hit a session low of 3.92% after rising as high […]

Oil
EnergyNews

Oil Gains After Weekly Loss as China Recovery Competes With Fed

February 20, 2023 Mariel Alumit

​ Oil rose after a weekly loss on hopes that a Chinese demand rebound is picking up pace following the end of Covid Zero, outweighing hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Brent climbed toward $84 […]

Fed
Jobs

Minimum Wage and; The Fed’s Biggest Fear

February 13, 2023 Mariel Alumit

Authored by Lance Roberts via The Epoch Times, How does the minimum wage affect the Fed’s biggest fear? I touched on this subject previously as the Fed began its rate-hiking campaign. However, while the issue […]

Fed
Zero Edge

Replace The Fed With The 2-Year US Treasury

February 9, 2023 Mariel Alumit

Submitted by Ryan Ortega, founder of Third Line Financial Planning. Last Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) wrapped up a two-day meeting to decide where to set the short-term Federal Funds Target rate. The […]

Fed
Finance

Fed Loan Officers Paints Dire Picture: Loan Standards Approaching Record Tightness As Loan Demand Plummets

February 7, 2023 Mariel Alumit

Late last week, when looking at the most recent Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey held by the Fed, we noted that the surge in revolving credit has not gone unnoticed by lenders: the on bank […]

Fed
Finance

US adds a surprisingly strong 517,000 jobs despite Fed hikes

February 3, 2023 Mariel Alumit

Employers in the United States added 517,000 jobs in January, a surprisingly strong gain in the face of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive drive to slow growth and tame inflation with higher interest rates. The unemployment […]

Fed
Finance

Would A Return To Big Fed Rate Cuts Make Things Better Or Worse

January 30, 2023 Mariel Alumit

By Michael Every of Rabobank Stop projecting; and start projecting This week is obviously dominated by the upcoming Fed meeting. On which note, please – stop projecting, at least in one regard. US personal income […]

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