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HomeFed

Fed

Fed
Finance

The Greatest Risk Next Year Is That The Fed Gets Its Way

December 15, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, The market’s view for next year is now pretty consistent: inflation will keep falling at its current pace; the Fed will exercise a relatively large pivot later next […]

ECB
Finance

Hawkish ECB Hikes 50bps, Will Begin QT In March; Raises Inflation Expectations

December 15, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Expectations of a 50bps hike were pretty much locked in – so no surprise there at all from The ECB’s decision today (to hike 50bps), but the timing of the start of quantitative tightening is […]

Fed
Zero Edge

History Is Loud And Clear: This Is The Last Fed Hike

December 14, 2022 Mariel Alumit

It’s not just Academy strategist Peter Tchir who bucks the prevailing consensus of at least two more rate hikes in 2023, and expects that today’s 50bps rate hike will be last one by the Fed: […]

Federal Reserve
Climate Crisis

Federal Reserve Unveils Climate Risk Proposal For Big Banks For Public Comment

December 7, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Authored by Nathan Worcester via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), The Federal Reserve Board of Governors on Dec. 2 invited public comment on proposed principles for managing climate-related risks of banks with $100 billion or […]

Executives
Zero Edge

Dallas Fed Survey Of Oil Executives Suggests Biden Is ‘Holding Us Back’

December 2, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Authored by Andrew Moran via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours), U.S. oil and gas sector activity advanced at a strong pace, although the rate of expansion decelerated in the third quarter, according to the Federal […]

Fed
Zero Edge

“Recession Is Coming” As Fed “Is Going Too Crazy” – Dallas Fed Respondents Slam US Economic Outlook

November 28, 2022 Mariel Alumit

While the headline Dallas Fed Manufacturing survey did not weaken as much as expected, the production index, a key measure of state manufacturing conditions, fell five points to near zero – its weakest level since […]

US
Earnings

A soaring US dollar will force the Fed to pivot away from its interest rate hikes, but that won’t be enough to prevent an earnings recession, Morgan Stanley says

November 28, 2022 Mariel Alumit

The Federal Reserve will likely follow in the Bank of England’s footsteps and pivot, according to Morgan Stanley. The bank said global US dollar liquidity is now in the “danger zone where bad stuff happens.” […]

Finance

Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes Show Rate Hike Pace Likely Slowing

November 24, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Federal Reserve policy meeting minutes show that a “substantial majority” of officials beleive it will soon be time to slow the rate of interest rate increases. The minutes show the central bank now appears poised […]

Inflation
Zero Edge

FOMC Preview: Watch For The Fed’s Reaction Function To Both Labor And Inflation

November 23, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Submitted by Newsquawk At its November confab, the FFR target was lifted by 75bps to 3.75-4.00%, as expected. The statement was dovishly received by the market after it stated that the Fed will consider the […]

Fed
Finance

Treasury Market Liquidity & Volatility Problems Could Derail Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

November 22, 2022 Stu Turley

Authored by Michael Maharrey via SchiffGold.com, Interest rate hikes get most of the attention as the Federal Reserve fights inflation, but balance sheet reduction is arguably more important. And it’s not going well.   Since […]

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