While Goldman Sachs and other analysts project a relatively swift rebound in Gulf oil output once the Strait of Hormuz reopens and the ceasefire holds, the outlook for liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets is markedly more cautious. Roughly 20% of global LNG supply—primarily from Qatar—has been disrupted by the conflict, with physical damage to liquefaction […]
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Goldman Sachs issued a research note Thursday projecting that Gulf oil production—currently down by an estimated 14.5 million barrels per day (mbpd), or 57% of pre-war Middle East levels—could largely rebound within a few months once the Strait of Hormuz reopens and hostilities fully cease. The investment bank attributes most of the lost output not […]
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As of April 23, 2026, the European Union finds itself in the throes of a deepening oil crisis, one that underscores the fragility of its post-Russia-sanctions energy strategy. Russia’s strategic redirection of Kazakh oil flows through the Druzhba pipeline—announced today by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak—has pushed Germany and much of the EU into what […]
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The global oil market has been upended by the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran that began in late February 2026. The effective closure or severe restriction of the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint carrying roughly 20 million barrels per day (bpd), or about one-fifth of global seaborne oil and LNG — triggered the largest supply […]
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April 23, 2026 – Tensions in the Persian Gulf remain high as the U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports enters its second week, with U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) reporting that American forces have now directed 31 vessels to turn around or return to Iranian ports. At the same time, the Strait of Hormuz — the […]
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In the high-stakes world of global energy markets, two prices for oil exist side by side — but they are telling wildly different stories right now. The “paper” price, reflected in Brent and WTI futures contracts traded on exchanges, sits around $99 per barrel as of April 22, 2026. Meanwhile, the physical price for delivered […]
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The global oil market is facing its most severe supply shock in years. Ongoing disruptions in the Middle East—driven by conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz—have slashed exports by more than 13 million barrels per day (mb/d), triggered massive production shut-ins, and sent inventories plunging. According to the International Energy Agency’s […]
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The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz—now in its seventh week—has triggered the largest oil supply shock in modern history. Roughly 20 million barrels per day (mb/d) of crude and products once flowed through this narrow chokepoint. Today, tanker traffic has collapsed, exports have plunged to a trickle, and Gulf producers have been forced […]
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As of April 20, 2026, U.S.-Iran negotiations remain in a state of high-stakes uncertainty. No final round of talks has been formally confirmed for this week, despite President Trump’s repeated statements that a deal is “very close” and that Iran has signaled willingness to suspend its nuclear program indefinitely in exchange for sanctions relief and […]
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In the energy markets, there’s no single “oil price” anymore — and today’s fractured reality proves it. As highlighted in a sharp analysis posted this morning by commodity trader Jack Prandelli, the spreads tell the real story: Forties (physical) → $134 Dated Brent (physical) → $116 Brent futures → $99 WTI → $87 Canadian crude […]
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