BHP CEO Sees 75 Percent in Growth in Copper

Reese Energy Consulting – Sponsor ENB Podcast

At Davos, Maria Bartiromo on Fox Business interviews Mike Henry, the CEO of BHP, about copper and the next wave of demand. There are some huge nuggets in this interview this morning, and looking at the copper miners and suppliers will be critical for investors.

Key Points:

1. BHP’s copper production and growth outlook:
– BHP is the world’s largest copper producer and has grown its copper production by 30% in the past 3 years.
– BHP has several major copper growth projects in the pipeline in the U.S., Chile, Argentina, and Australia that it is focused on progressing.
– BHP is expecting continued strong demand for copper, driven by overall economic growth, the energy transition, and the growth of data centers and AI.

2. BHP’s overall commodity focus and strategy:
– BHP is focused on a small suite of key commodities, with copper and potash being the main growth areas.
– BHP also has a strong iron ore business that helps fund its growth, as well as sizable gold and uranium production.
– BHP is very disciplined about M&A and is not pursuing acquisitions like the potential Rio Tinto-Glencore deal, preferring to focus on its own organic growth projects.

3. The copper market outlook:
– Copper prices have been rising due to supply-side disruptions, while demand has remained strong and consistent.
– BHP expects copper demand to grow by up to 70% over the next 25 years, driven by the factors mentioned earlier.
– BHP sees the copper market facing a growing supply deficit as new large deposits become harder to find and extract.

Here are some of the most interesting and impactful quotes from the interview:

1. “We’ve got big growth options ahead of us in the U.S., in Chile, Argentina, in Australia, and so we’re very focused on how we can go about progressing those projects as quickly as possible because everybody’s now interested in copper.” – Mike Henry, CEO of BHP

This quote highlights BHP’s focus on rapidly developing its major copper growth projects around the world to capitalize on the strong demand.

2. “Longer term, we are expecting up to 70% demand growth in copper over the next 25 years, driven by overall economic growth, energy transition, and importantly, the digital transformation in that, as AI plays out, that’s incredibly energy-intensive.” – Mike Henry

This quote outlines BHP’s bullish long-term outlook for copper demand, driven by factors like the energy transition and the growth of data centers and AI.

3. “It’s used in every walk of life so demand for copper is ubiquitous and then you have these other demand drivers layering it on top of that existing demand so it’s it’s a pretty rosy outlook for for that commodity.” – Mike Henry

This quote emphasizes the widespread and diverse uses of copper, which combined with the new demand drivers, create a very positive outlook for the commodity according to BHP.

4. “We don’t need to pursue M&A. We have a great growth story in our own right and so our real focus is on bringing those four big growth projects we have in copper alongside our growth in in in potash forward as reliably and quickly as Thank you very much.” – Mike Henry

This quote shows BHP’s disciplined approach to M&A, preferring to focus on developing its own internal growth projects rather than pursuing acquisitions.

Why Invest in Copper-Related Companies?

Copper demand is surging due to its critical role in electric vehicles (EVs), renewable energy infrastructure, AI data centers, and global electrification. Supply disruptions and underinvestment in new mines have created a structural deficit, with prices projected to average around $12,000 per metric ton in 2026. This positions well-established producers and explorers for growth, though the sector remains volatile due to economic cycles and geopolitical factors. Note: This is not financial advice—always conduct your own due diligence, as markets fluctuate and individual circumstances vary.

Top Copper Mining Companies

Based on production scale, cost efficiency, growth potential, and analyst consensus, here are standout copper mining companies. I’ve prioritized those with strong balance sheets, low production costs, and exposure to high-demand regions like North and South America. Data includes approximate market cap (as of early 2026) and key highlights.

Company
Ticker
Market Cap (USD)
Key Strengths
Potential Risks
Freeport-McMoRan
NYSE: FCX
~$88B
World’s largest publicly traded copper producer (1.26M tons in 2024); low-cost operations in the US, Indonesia, and South America; expanding output to meet EV/AI demand; strong analyst ratings (e.g., “Outperform” from Bernstein).

Exposure to commodity price swings; regulatory risks in Indonesia.
Southern Copper
NYSE: SCCO
~$62B
Lowest-cost producer globally; operations in Peru and Mexico (920K tons est. 2025); high margins and dividends; projected 22% stock growth in 2026.

Concentrated in Latin America; potential labor or environmental issues.
BHP Group
NYSE: BHP
~$140B
Top global producer (1.5M tons in 2024); diversified with iron ore but strong copper focus in Australia and Chile; positioned for mergers and green energy growth.

Broader commodity exposure dilutes pure copper play; cyclical downturns.
Rio Tinto
NYSE: RIO
~$114B
Major producer (~700K tons annually); low-cost assets in Mongolia and the US; “Outperform” ratings for stability amid base metals peak.

Merger talks could add volatility; competition from peers.
Teck Resources
NYSE: TECK
~$25B
World-class copper/zinc ops in the Americas; merger with Anglo American boosts scale; expected production normalization and upside from Florence mine.

Zinc diversification; project ramp-up delays.
Ero Copper
NYSE: ERO
~$2B
Top-rated by Zen Ratings; Brazil-focused with high growth; efficient operations and strong momentum.

Smaller scale increases risk; emerging market exposure.
Taseko Mines
NYSE: TGB
~$2B
US/Canada ops; Gibraltar and Florence mines offer $5B+ NPV at current prices; major 2026 upside from production ramps.

seekingalpha.com
Mid-tier size; execution risks on expansions.

These companies are frequently highlighted for their ability to capitalize on a projected 2026 copper deficit of ~330K tons.

Larger firms like FCX and BHP offer stability, while mid-tiers like TECK and TGB provide higher leverage to price rises.

Companies in the Broader Copper Supply Chain

Beyond pure miners, consider firms involved in processing, recycling, equipment, or downstream products. These can offer indirect exposure with potentially lower volatility.

Hudbay Minerals (NYSE: HBM): Copper/zinc producer with assets in Canada and Peru; strong growth pipeline.

Highland Copper (TSXV: HI): US-focused developer with permitted projects in Michigan; emphasis on domestic supply security.

Andean Precious Metals (TSX: APM): Copper-gold ops in Peru; ranked high on OTCQX list for performance.

For international options (e.g., India-listed for diversification): Hindustan Copper (NSE: HINDCOPPER) as a state-owned miner; Hindalco (NSE: HINDALCO) for smelting/processing.

Downstream plays like Precision Wires India (wires) or Bonlon Industries (recycling) benefit from end-use demand.

Junior Explorers for Higher-Risk Growth

For speculative plays with 5-10x potential (as discussed in recent X threads), focus on juniors with promising deposits. These are riskier but offer leverage to discoveries:Midnight Sun Mining (TSXV: MMA): Zambia exposure; strong fundamentals.

Copper Giant Resources (TSXV: CGNT): Large porphyry in Colombia.

Pacific Ridge Exploration (TSXV: PEX): High-potential in Canada.

@TheApeOfGoldST

Hercules Metals (TSXV: BIG): US-based with expansion potential.

Diversified Investment Options

If direct stocks feel too concentrated, consider ETFs for broad exposure:

Global X Copper Miners ETF (COPX): Tracks top miners; aggressive beta to copper prices.

iShares Copper & Metals Mining ETF (ICOP): Includes copper plus related metals for balance.

United States Copper Index Fund (CPER): Futures-based for direct price tracking.

Monitor global production leaders like Codelco (state-owned, not publicly traded) for market context.

With mergers like Anglo-Teck underway, consolidation could further boost majors.

Sources: farmonaut.com, fool.com, admiralmarkets.com, @TheApeOfGoldST on X

 

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