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HomeFed

Fed

Labor
Finance

Labor Market Doing Fine. The Fed Can be “Careful” with Rate Cuts. Maybe Time for Some Wait-and-See?

December 6, 2024 Andy Del Prado

Payrolls & wages jump, prior 2 months revised higher, solid bounce-back from Hurricanes and Boeing strike. 3-month average payrolls +173,000! By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. Payrolls jumped by 227,000 in November from October, and the prior two […]

Balance Sheet
Finance

Fed Balance Sheet QT: -$98 Billion in November, -$2.07 Trillion from Peak, to $6.90 Trillion, Lowest since May 2020

December 5, 2024 Mariel Alumit

Quantitative Tightening shed 43% of the assets the Fed had added during pandemic QE. Bank-panic facility BTFP is vanishing. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. Total assets on the Fed’s balance sheet dropped by $98 billion in November, […]

Losses
Bankruptcy

Operating Losses and “Unrealized” Losses of the Federal Reserve in Q3 2024

November 23, 2024 Mariel Alumit

QE was a huge gravy train for taxpayers. But then came the hangover. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. The Fed released its financial report for the third quarter on Friday afternoon. The two items we pay attention […]

Dollar
Finance

US Dollar Crushes Euro, Yen, Canadian Dollar, other Currencies as Fed Backpedals on Pace of Rate Cuts

November 22, 2024 Andy Del Prado

Amid renewed inflation worries and above-average economic growth. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. The Dollar Index [DXY] which tracks the USD against a basket of six currencies (euro, yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, Swedish krona, and Swiss […]

Credit Card
Finance

Credit Card Delinquency Rates, Balances, Burden, and Available Credit in Q3 2024

November 19, 2024 Andy Del Prado

Americans far from “tapped out.” Credit card delinquency rate dips to 3.2% (Fed), “prime” delinquency rate 0.99% (Fitch), “subprime” gets over free-money hangover. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET: The Federal Reserve today released the delinquency rates for […]

Fed’s Balance Sheet
Finance

Fed’s Balance Sheet Drops Below $7 Trillion. QT: -$53 Billion in Oct., -$1.97 Trillion from Peak, to $6.99 Trillion, Back to May 2020

November 7, 2024 Andy Del Prado

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. Another milestone in the Fed’s QT program: Total assets on the Fed’s balance sheet dropped to $6.99 trillion, according to the Fed’s weekly balance sheet today. The balance sheet first reached this […]

Fed
Finance

Fed Cuts by 25 Basis Points, to 4.75% Top of Range, as Telegraphed to Backpedal from Monster Cut. QT Continues

November 7, 2024 Andy Del Prado

“The Committee judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance.” By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. FOMC members voted unanimously today to cut the Fed’s five policy rates by 25 basis […]

Fed
Finance

What If There’s No Landing at all, But Flight at Higher Speed and Altitude than Normal, with Higher and Rising Inflation?

October 13, 2024 Stu Turley

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. When the Fed cut its policy rates on September 18, it looked at labor market data showing a sudden slowdown of job creation to weak levels, and it looked at decent consumer […]

Balance Sheet
Finance

Fed Balance Sheet QT: -$66 Billion in Sept., -$1.92 Trillion from Peak, to $7.05 Trillion, Back to May 2020. To Drop Below $7 Trillion in 1-2 Months

October 3, 2024 Stu Turley

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. Total assets on the Fed’s balance sheet dropped by $66 billion in September, to $7.05 trillion, according to the Fed’s weekly balance sheet today. The balance sheet first reached this level on […]

PCE Price Index
Finance

Fed Favored Annual Core PCE Price Index Accelerates to 2.7%, Highest since April, on Higher Core Services Inflation (+3.8%). Durable Goods -2.2%, Energy -10%

September 27, 2024 Stu Turley

By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. The “Core” PCE price index, the Fed’s primary yardstick for its 2% inflation target, rose by 2.7% from a year ago in August, the second slight acceleration in a row, and the biggest […]

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