Demand Destruction is on the Horizon with a Billion-Barrel Hormuz Oil Shock About to Send Prices Up

As the Iran war enters its third month, the world is staring down the barrel of the largest oil supply disruption in history. The Strait of Hormuz—the chokepoint for roughly one-fifth of global petroleum trade—has been effectively closed to most non-Iranian shipping since early March 2026. Bloomberg’s latest analysis warns that the resulting “billion-barrel oil […]

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Russian Oil Market is Reshaping: EU’s Oil Crisis Creates Long-Term Wins for Moscow

As of April 23, 2026, the European Union finds itself in the throes of a deepening oil crisis, one that underscores the fragility of its post-Russia-sanctions energy strategy. Russia’s strategic redirection of Kazakh oil flows through the Druzhba pipeline—announced today by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak—has pushed Germany and much of the EU into what […]

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When the Paper Price of Oil Catches Up with the Physical Price of Delivered Oil, It Will Be a Violent Swing UP

In the high-stakes world of global energy markets, two prices for oil exist side by side — but they are telling wildly different stories right now. The “paper” price, reflected in Brent and WTI futures contracts traded on exchanges, sits around $99 per barrel as of April 22, 2026. Meanwhile, the physical price for delivered […]

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