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HomeTreasury

Treasury

debt
Finance

Fiscal Collapse Accelerates

April 5, 2024 Mariel Alumit

In case you thought anybody in Washington was driving this thing, they are not. It’s official: the Department of Treasury is now issuing debt at pandemic levels. It’s worth noting the pandemic record was double the […]

US Dollar
Finance

The Fed’s Liabilities: How Far Can QT Go? What’s the Lowest Possible Level of the Balance Sheet without Blowing Stuff Up?

March 23, 2024 Stu Turley

Reserves, Domestic ON RRPs, Currency in Circulation, the TGA, and official foreign RRPs determine how far QT can go. By Wolf Richter for WOLF STREET. The Fed has been talking a lot about its liabilities recently, including Powell […]

Rate
Finance

Short-Term Treasury Market Walks Away from Rate-Cut Mania, Inflation Has Upper Hand

March 15, 2024 Mariel Alumit

From mid-October through the end of January, the 6-month Treasury yield had dropped by about 43 basis points, from around 5.58% to 5.15% (green box in the chart below). This means roughly, that at the […]

Fed
Finance

Treasury Market Liquidity & Volatility Problems Could Derail Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

November 22, 2022 Stu Turley

Authored by Michael Maharrey via SchiffGold.com, Interest rate hikes get most of the attention as the Federal Reserve fights inflation, but balance sheet reduction is arguably more important. And it’s not going well.   Since […]

Finance

Treasury “Has Not Made Decision” Yet On Buybacks; Holds Quarterly Debt Sales Unchanged

November 2, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Yesterday we said that “with all the focus on the Fed tomorrow, it will be delightful(ly ironic) if the Treasury steals the show with a TSY buyback announcement during the 8:30am refunding announcement.” Of course, […]

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