US Oil Rig Count Stalling While Output Soars

In the dynamic world of energy production, the United States continues to defy expectations. Despite a stagnant rig count, U.S. crude oil output has reached unprecedented heights, showcasing remarkable efficiency gains and technological advancements in the industry. This trend highlights how operators are squeezing more production from fewer rigs, a testament to improved drilling techniques and well completions. As of mid-October 2025, the Baker Hughes rig count data reveals a U.S. total of 548 active rigs, up just one from the previous week but down 37 compared to the same period last year.

Meanwhile, weekly crude oil production hit a record 13.636 million barrels per day (bpd) for the week ending October 10, up slightly from 13.629 million bpd the prior week.

This surge in output comes amid broader global rig activity that remains mixed across key regions.

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Global Rig Counts by Main Areas

Globally, the rig count provides a snapshot of exploration and development activity outside North America. According to Baker Hughes’ latest monthly international rig count for September 2025, the total stood at 1,084 active rigs, marking an increase of 8 from August but a decline of 72 from September 2024.

This figure contributes to a worldwide total of approximately 1,812 rigs when including North America.

Breaking down by major regions (based on the most recent available breakdowns, which align with September trends):

Region
Approximate Rig Count
Change from Previous Month
Notes
Middle East
359
Stable
Leading region, driven by Saudi Arabia and UAE activity.
Asia Pacific
317
-3
Includes offshore operations in Australia and Indonesia.
Latin America
195
+5
Strong in Brazil and Argentina, with offshore gains.
Africa
108
+2
Focused on Nigeria and Angola.
Europe
105
+4
North Sea and emerging Eastern Europe plays.

These numbers reflect a cautious approach globally, with the Middle East maintaining dominance due to OPEC+ strategies, while Asia Pacific sees slight pullbacks amid economic uncertainties.

U.S. Rig Counts: Oil vs. Gas Breakdown

In the United States, the rig count has shown little movement, underscoring a “stalling” phase where operators prioritize capital discipline over aggressive expansion. The total of 548 rigs includes:Oil Rigs: 418 (unchanged from the previous week, down 64 year-over-year).

Gas Rigs: 121 (up 1 from the previous week, up 22 year-over-year).

Miscellaneous Rigs: 9 (unchanged from the previous week).

This split illustrates a modest uptick in gas-directed drilling, possibly in response to anticipated higher natural gas prices, while oil rigs remain flat amid volatile crude prices. Despite the stagnation, frac spread counts—a measure of completion activity—slipped to 175, down 4 from the prior week and 26 year-over-year, indicating focused but efficient operations.

U.S. Rig Counts by Main Basins

Drilling activity varies significantly across key U.S. basins, with the Permian continuing to dominate but showing signs of moderation. Here’s a breakdown based on the latest October 2025 data:

Basin
Rig Count
Change from Previous Week
Change Year-Over-Year
Primary Focus
Permian
251
+1
-53
Oil-heavy, spanning Texas and New Mexico.
Eagle Ford
44
0
-5
Oil and gas in South Texas.
Haynesville
41
+2
Stable
Gas-focused in Louisiana and Texas.

pboilandgasmagazine.com
Williston (Bakken)
~30
-1
Down
Oil in North Dakota.
DJ-Niobrara
10
-1
Down
Oil and gas in Colorado.

energynewsbeat.co
Marcellus/Utica
37
0
Stable
Gas in Pennsylvania, Ohio, West Virginia.

marcellusdrilling.com

The Permian Basin remains the epicenter of U.S. activity, accounting for nearly half of all rigs, though its year-over-year decline reflects broader industry restraint.

Basins like Haynesville are seeing gains tied to gas demand.

U.S. Rig Counts by Main States

State-level data further illustrates regional concentrations, with Texas and New Mexico leading due to their overlap with the prolific Permian Basin. As of mid-October 2025:

State
Rig Count
Change from Previous Week
Notes
Texas
238
-6
Dominant state, includes Permian and Eagle Ford.

southwestledger.news
New Mexico
100
+4
Permian-focused, strong growth.

pboilandgasmagazine.com
North Dakota
~30
-1
Bakken Basin activity.
Oklahoma
~40
Stable
Various basins including Anadarko.
Louisiana
38
+2
Haynesville and Gulf offshore.

getscalefunding.com
Pennsylvania
~20
0
Marcellus gas plays.

getscalefunding.com

Texas alone hosts over 40% of U.S. rigs, but recent declines signal caution, while New Mexico’s additions buck the trend.

Why Output Soars Amid Stalling Rigs

The disconnect between rig counts and production stems from efficiency: longer laterals, better fracking, and drawing down drilled-but-uncompleted (DUC) wells. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects U.S. crude output to average around 13.6 million bpd in 2025, with gas at 105.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd).

This resilience supports energy independence but raises questions about sustainability if rig activity doesn’t rebound. As global demand fluctuates, U.S. producers are positioned to capitalize on their productivity edge.

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