Demand Destruction is on the Horizon with a Billion-Barrel Hormuz Oil Shock About to Send Prices Up

As the Iran war enters its third month, the world is staring down the barrel of the largest oil supply disruption in history. The Strait of Hormuz—the chokepoint for roughly one-fifth of global petroleum trade—has been effectively closed to most non-Iranian shipping since early March 2026. Bloomberg’s latest analysis warns that the resulting “billion-barrel oil […]

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Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said they did not expect to significantly increase production over the next two years -Even with Iran War -FT

The FT writes, US shale bosses polled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said they did not expect to significantly increase production over the next two years as a result of the “chaos” caused by the Iran war. According survey of more than 100 oil and gas companies, 43% of executives said they do […]

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Post-Iran Conflict: Why LNG Markets Face a Longer, Bumpier Recovery Than Oil

While Goldman Sachs and other analysts project a relatively swift rebound in Gulf oil output once the Strait of Hormuz reopens and the ceasefire holds, the outlook for liquefied natural gas (LNG) markets is markedly more cautious. Roughly 20% of global LNG supply—primarily from Qatar—has been disrupted by the conflict, with physical damage to liquefaction […]

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Russian Oil Market is Reshaping: EU’s Oil Crisis Creates Long-Term Wins for Moscow

As of April 23, 2026, the European Union finds itself in the throes of a deepening oil crisis, one that underscores the fragility of its post-Russia-sanctions energy strategy. Russia’s strategic redirection of Kazakh oil flows through the Druzhba pipeline—announced today by Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak—has pushed Germany and much of the EU into what […]

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