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HomeRecession

Recession

US
Finance

US PMIs Scream Recession In December Flash Report

December 16, 2022 Mariel Alumit

After tumbling to their lowest since the COVID lockdown collapse, S&P Global’s PMI surveys were expected to rebound modestly in preliminary December data this morning. However, the consensus was very wrong as both Services and […]

Recession
Finance

US Recession: When, Not If

November 29, 2022 Mariel Alumit

By Simon White, Bloomberg Markets Live reporter and commentator A signal based on the manufacturing indices compiled by the regional Fed banks indicates a recession next year. However, positive cyclical equity data suggests one is […]

Finance

After Years Of “Stimulus” Come Surging Debt & Falling Wages

November 23, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Authored by Ryan McMaken via The Mises Institute, As interest rates rise on everything from mortgages to car loans to Treasurys, that also means interest is rising on credit card debt. That’s not exactly great […]

Problem
Zero Edge

Ahead Of Recession, California Faces $25 Billion Budget Problem With Ongoing Deficits

November 21, 2022 Mariel Alumit

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com, California is spending like the tech boom would last forever. But a tech crunch is underway with huge layoffs everywhere. Now what?   Please consider California’s Fiscal Outlook for […]

Jobs
Finance

Jobs Report — Modest Gains And Climbing Wages In Spite Of An Oncoming Recession

November 17, 2022 Mariel Alumit

The jobs report is an essential indicator of the health of the economy. With the release of the October jobs reports, investors were disappointed that it was strong, given the implications of higher interest rates […]

Recession
Finance

Recession-shy investors can turn to capital cycle

November 11, 2022 Mariel Alumit

LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters Breakingviews) – As the world braces for a seemingly inevitable recession, commodities have taken a hit. The prices of oil, copper and iron ore are all sharply down from their peaks […]

ENVERUS
Enverus

Exposing the Hidden Bear Trap: Recession Expected To Bite Global Oil Demand

November 7, 2022 Mariel Alumit

China, India and non-OECD Asia will drive oil demand growth in 2023, with other regions offering negative or marginal growth Calgary, Alberta (November 7, 2022) — Enverus Intelligence Research (EIR), a subsidiary of Enverus, the […]

Finance

The Profit Recession Is Now Here… And The Worst Is Yet to Come

November 3, 2022 Stu Turley

Michael Msika and Farah Elbahrawy, Bloomberg Markets Live reporter and commentators Let the economists debate all day long about whether a recession is coming: In corporate earnings, one has already arrived, if you set aside […]

Finance

Bloomberg Survey Predicts Fed Will Overtighten

October 29, 2022 Mariel Alumit

A new Bloomberg survey of economists predicts the Federal Reserve will continue its hawkish policy at its next meeting November 1-2, and that this will lead to interest rates reaching 5% by next March, plunging […]

Finance

Treasury Yield Inverts, Recession Incoming (Or is it already here?)

October 29, 2022 Mariel Alumit

The US Treasury yield spread on the three-month Treasury bill and the ten-year note began going negative this week, signally a near term risk of recession, according to a report in the Wall Street Journal. […]

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