High fuel prices are likely to persist even if crude oil prices ease in the coming months. Global refining capacity remains critically constrained by the ongoing wars involving Iran (including the Strait of Hormuz disruption under Operation Epic Fury) and Russia-Ukraine, according to warnings from the chief executives of ExxonMobil and Chevron. On recent earnings […]
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The paper oil markets continue to signal relative calm, with WTI futures hovering in the low-to-mid $80s per barrel range in late July 2026, even as the physical markets scream warnings of tightening supplies and stress. Futures traders appear focused on hopes of de-escalation, adaptability of flows, and potential diplomatic pauses. Yet the actual delivery […]
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Russia is extending its gasoline export restrictions through the end of 2026 while signaling that its temporary diesel export ban will be lifted once domestic markets stabilize, according to Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak. Speaking in Omsk on July 25, 2026, Novak said the diesel restrictions—imposed amid severe domestic fuel shortages—will be removed “in due […]
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In the escalating conflicts of mid-2026, the world’s most critical maritime energy arteries face simultaneous pressure from military actions, proxy threats, and environmental stresses. The Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Suez Canal, and even the Caspian Sea region have become flashpoints, disrupting flows of oil, LNG, fertilizers, and other commodities. Russian tankers are forced […]
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Greece has once again highlighted the practical and commercial limits of the European Union’s sanctions regime against Russian energy. As the world’s leading maritime nation, Athens successfully pressed for exemptions on restrictions targeting the shipping of Russian LNG to third countries in the latest (21st) sanctions package. Greek officials argued that broader bans would primarily […]
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A pivotal shift occurred overnight on July 14–15, 2026. Ukraine struck the Gazprom Neftekhim Salavat refinery in Bashkortostan — previously Russia’s last major untouched gasoline production facility — along with the Afipsky refinery in Krasnodar Krai. Drones traveled over 1,500 km to hit primary processing units at Salavat, igniting fires and knocking out its full […]
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The Refining Capacity Shortage and Demand Destruction Quest Brent crude oil prices surged more than 3% today, breaking above $86 per barrel (reaching $86.06 in early London trading). This extends a sharp ~12% rally since Friday, driven by escalating geopolitical risks across key oil chokepoints and infrastructure. The immediate spark came from Iranian cruise missile […]
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Beijing has directed at least two major Chinese refineries to maintain or even increase processing rates to ensure adequate domestic supplies of gasoline, diesel, and other fuels. This comes amid renewed threats to crude shipments through the Persian Gulf tied to the ongoing Iran conflict, according to people familiar with the matter cited by Bloomberg […]
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Russia’s domestic fuel shortage has escalated dramatically in July 2026, moving beyond diesel queues at gas stations to kerosene shortages, grounded or limited flights, and export bans on key refined products. Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries and the shadow fleet tankers are removing substantial refined product supply from both domestic and global markets. This is […]
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Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces have intensified their campaign against Russia’s “shadow fleet” of tankers, claiming strikes on approximately 15 additional vessels in a recent operation focused on the Sea of Azov. This follows a multi-day drone offensive from July 6–9, 2026, that reportedly hit 35–36 ships total (with later updates to 36 vessels, including 32 […]
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