The global order of the energy industry is shifting and where the Permian Basin will fit in is an intriguing question. It will of course be very important, but in what relation to Russia, Saudi Arabia and the other members of OPEC and OPEC-Plus? How will Europe and Asia factor in with their massive and […]
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Even the most optimistic reopening of the Strait of Hormuz won’t deliver a quick fix. Physical barrels tell a far harsher story than paper futures. Art Berman (@aeberman12) nailed it in his May 25, 2026, post: There is no clean, modelable “successful reopening” of the Strait of Hormuz. Even in the wildly optimistic scenario, the […]
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In a decisive move that underscores its strategic pivot amid ongoing regional tensions and its recent departure from OPEC, the United Arab Emirates is accelerating infrastructure to dramatically expand its oil export capacity, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. On May 15, 2026, Abu Dhabi’s Crown Prince Sheikh Khaled bin Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan directed […]
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Saudi Arabia has delivered a stark update to OPEC: its crude oil production plunged another 651,000 barrels per day (b/d) in April, hitting just 6.316 million b/d—the lowest level since the 1990 Gulf War. According to a monthly report from OPEC’s secretariat obtained by Bloomberg, the kingdom’s output has now fallen a cumulative 42% since […]
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Irina Slav did a great job today leading the discussion, and it was interesting with the great comments from the live audience. Irina had a great point about the new Ford’s ability to shut down or allow you to use your own car due to heightened stress. This is not good, and I will not […]
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The United Arab Emirates’ announcement on April 28, 2026, that it will formally exit both OPEC and the wider OPEC+ alliance effective May 1 marks a seismic shift in global oil politics. As one of the cartel’s most significant producers with substantial spare capacity, the UAE’s departure delivers a major blow to an already strained […]
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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has announced its withdrawal from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the broader OPEC+ alliance, effective May 1, 2026—marking the end of nearly 60 years of membership since 1967. This move strips OPEC of its third-largest producer and delivers a significant blow to the cartel’s ability to […]
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In a landmark testimony before the Senate Appropriations Subcommittee and follow-up statements, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has outlined a bold new strategy: expanding permanent dollar swap facilities with Gulf and Asian allies to reinforce U.S. dollar dominance amid global energy shocks. This comes as the traditional petrodollar framework—anchored by a 50-year arrangement with Saudi […]
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This is not a rumor—it’s confirmed today (April 28, 2026) via the state-run Emirates News Agency (WAM). The move ends nearly 60 years of membership in OPEC (a founding member) and marks the most significant fracture in the cartel in decades. The official rationale, per WAM and UAE Energy Ministry statements, is a “comprehensive review […]
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The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz—now in its seventh week—has triggered the largest oil supply shock in modern history. Roughly 20 million barrels per day (mb/d) of crude and products once flowed through this narrow chokepoint. Today, tanker traffic has collapsed, exports have plunged to a trickle, and Gulf producers have been forced […]
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