Demand Destruction is on the Horizon with a Billion-Barrel Hormuz Oil Shock About to Send Prices Up

As the Iran war enters its third month, the world is staring down the barrel of the largest oil supply disruption in history. The Strait of Hormuz—the chokepoint for roughly one-fifth of global petroleum trade—has been effectively closed to most non-Iranian shipping since early March 2026. Bloomberg’s latest analysis warns that the resulting “billion-barrel oil […]

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Energy Security Starts at Home: More Countries Are Building Refineries and Drilling Programs

In an era of geopolitical turmoil—from conflicts in the Middle East to supply chain disruptions—energy security is no longer a luxury but a strategic imperative. Countries worldwide are shifting from reliance on imported refined products to building domestic refining capacity and ramping up drilling programs. This “energy starts at home” approach not only insulates economies […]

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California is Within Weeks of a Shutdown

California’s energy system is teetering on the edge of collapse. Decades of aggressive refinery closures, strict CARB fuel specifications, and heavy reliance on long-haul imports have left the state uniquely vulnerable. The ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz—triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran—has now turned that vulnerability into an imminent crisis. Refined product […]

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Where are Oil and LNG Prices Heading? What are the second order impacts for consumers and investors?

The global energy markets are in flux as of mid-April 2026, shaped by severe disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict (centered on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz). This has curtailed roughly 7–10 mb/d of crude, NGLs, and refined product exports in March–April, triggering sharp price spikes and inventory draws. Brent crude averaged $103/bbl […]

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President Trump Said Gas Prices May Stay Elevated Till the Midterms: A Deep Dive into the Iran War Unwind and Global Oil Market Realities

President Donald Trump’s recent comments on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures have sparked intense debate in energy circles. In the April 12, 2026 interview, Trump acknowledged that U.S. gasoline prices “could be the same or maybe a little bit higher” by the November midterm elections, despite earlier hopes for a quick resolution. This marks a […]

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